Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This strong model consensus under stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 27°C. Traders monitor final short-range updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service, as resolution hinges on the official reading at Pudong International Airport. Scenarios such as an unexpected increase in moisture or a shift in steering winds could lower the peak by 1–2°C and introduce modest uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日上海气温最高?
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,889 交易量
$138,889 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,889 交易量
$138,889 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai on May 17, driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air. This strong model consensus under stable atmospheric conditions with minimal cloud cover underpins the market's near-certain positioning at 27°C. Traders monitor final short-range updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service, as resolution hinges on the official reading at Pudong International Airport. Scenarios such as an unexpected increase in moisture or a shift in steering winds could lower the peak by 1–2°C and introduce modest uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题