Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a warming trend over eastern China, positioning Shanghai for a potential daily maximum of 27°C or higher on May 19. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 24–26°C, but current southerly flow off the East China Sea combined with reduced cloud cover and light winds favors greater solar heating and afternoon peaks in the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflects this, with 27°C or above holding the largest implied probability at 49% while lower bins like 25°C trail at 14.5%. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether persistent moisture or a passing front tempers the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日上海气温最高？
5月19日上海气温最高？
27°C or higher 49%
26°C 29%
25°C 15%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
15%
26°C
29%
27°C or higher
49%
27°C or higher 49%
26°C 29%
25°C 15%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
17°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$15 交易量
1%
20°C
$15 交易量
1%
21°C
$157 交易量
1%
22°C
$71 交易量
1%
23°C
$48 交易量
2%
24°C
$40 交易量
7%
25°C
$59 交易量
15%
26°C
$46 交易量
29%
27°C or higher
$140 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a warming trend over eastern China, positioning Shanghai for a potential daily maximum of 27°C or higher on May 19. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 24–26°C, but current southerly flow off the East China Sea combined with reduced cloud cover and light winds favors greater solar heating and afternoon peaks in the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflects this, with 27°C or above holding the largest implied probability at 49% while lower bins like 25°C trail at 14.5%. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether persistent moisture or a passing front tempers the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$591结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a warming trend over eastern China, positioning Shanghai for a potential daily maximum of 27°C or higher on May 19. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 24–26°C, but current southerly flow off the East China Sea combined with reduced cloud cover and light winds favors greater solar heating and afternoon peaks in the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflects this, with 27°C or above holding the largest implied probability at 49% while lower bins like 25°C trail at 14.5%. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether persistent moisture or a passing front tempers the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$591结束日期
2026-05-19市场开放时间
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a warming trend over eastern China, positioning Shanghai for a potential daily maximum of 27°C or higher on May 19. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 24–26°C, but current southerly flow off the East China Sea combined with reduced cloud cover and light winds favors greater solar heating and afternoon peaks in the upper 20s. Trader consensus reflects this, with 27°C or above holding the largest implied probability at 49% while lower bins like 25°C trail at 14.5%. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether persistent moisture or a passing front tempers the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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