**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) and National Environment Agency (NEA) place today’s maximum temperature near 32–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and drier-than-average first-half-of-August weather.** Recent NEA outlooks explicitly cite daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through mid-August, supported by El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) influences that suppress rainfall and enhance insolation. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-August Singapore cluster around 31–32 °C, with 32 °C falling squarely inside the expected range given current humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited convective activity. The market’s 97.5 % implied probability on 32 °C therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of either significant cooling from unexpected showers or rapid intensification to 34 °C or higher. Only a late-day thunderstorm cluster or a sharp revision in the afternoon sounding could realistically shift the outcome outside the narrow 32–33 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
新加坡8月12日的最高温度？
32°C 95%
33°C 7%
34°C 1.0%
27°C or below <1%
$59,382 交易量
$59,382 交易量
2026-08-12
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
7%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 95%
33°C 7%
34°C 1.0%
27°C or below <1%
$59,382 交易量
$59,382 交易量
2026-08-12
27°C or below
$374 交易量
<1%
28°C
$959 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,203 交易量
<1%
30°C
$6,281 交易量
<1%
31°C
$8,877 交易量
<1%
32°C
$16,245 交易量
95%
33°C
$12,878 交易量
7%
34°C
$6,932 交易量
1%
35°C
$3,035 交易量
<1%
36°C
$778 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$820 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) and National Environment Agency (NEA) place today’s maximum temperature near 32–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and drier-than-average first-half-of-August weather.**
Recent NEA outlooks explicitly cite daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through mid-August, supported by El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) influences that suppress rainfall and enhance insolation. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-August Singapore cluster around 31–32 °C, with 32 °C falling squarely inside the expected range given current humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited convective activity.
The market’s 97.5 % implied probability on 32 °C therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of either significant cooling from unexpected showers or rapid intensification to 34 °C or higher. Only a late-day thunderstorm cluster or a sharp revision in the afternoon sounding could realistically shift the outcome outside the narrow 32–33 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$59,382结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) and National Environment Agency (NEA) place today’s maximum temperature near 32–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and drier-than-average first-half-of-August weather.**
Recent NEA outlooks explicitly cite daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through mid-August, supported by El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) influences that suppress rainfall and enhance insolation. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-August Singapore cluster around 31–32 °C, with 32 °C falling squarely inside the expected range given current humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited convective activity.
The market’s 97.5 % implied probability on 32 °C therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of either significant cooling from unexpected showers or rapid intensification to 34 °C or higher. Only a late-day thunderstorm cluster or a sharp revision in the afternoon sounding could realistically shift the outcome outside the narrow 32–33 °C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,382结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) and National Environment Agency (NEA) place today’s maximum temperature near 32–34 °C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions and drier-than-average first-half-of-August weather.** Recent NEA outlooks explicitly cite daily maxima of 33–34 °C on most days through mid-August, supported by El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) influences that suppress rainfall and enhance insolation. Model consensus and historical analogs for early-August Singapore cluster around 31–32 °C, with 32 °C falling squarely inside the expected range given current humidity, light southeasterly winds, and limited convective activity. The market’s 97.5 % implied probability on 32 °C therefore reflects aggregated trader assessment of these stable atmospheric conditions and the low likelihood of either significant cooling from unexpected showers or rapid intensification to 34 °C or higher. Only a late-day thunderstorm cluster or a sharp revision in the afternoon sounding could realistically shift the outcome outside the narrow 32–33 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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