Cloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日东京气温最高？
8月3日东京气温最高？
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 24%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
24%
27°C
38%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 24%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C or below
$356 交易量
<1%
23°C
$356 交易量
<1%
24°C
$774 交易量
1%
25°C
$111 交易量
5%
26°C
$405 交易量
24%
27°C
$733 交易量
38%
28°C
$128 交易量
25%
29°C
$78 交易量
10%
30°C
$140 交易量
4%
31°C
$291 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$251 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,623结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,623结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCloudy conditions forecast by the Japan Meteorological Agency for August 3 are moderating peak heating in Tokyo, positioning 27°C as the leading outcome with 38% implied probability. Historical early-August highs average near 32°C under clearer skies, but scattered cloud cover and elevated humidity typically cap daytime maxima 3–5°C lower by limiting solar insolation. Recent model consensus shows limited intensification potential ahead of the date, with traders favoring the 26–28°C cluster as resolution thresholds align with observed patterns rather than seasonal extremes. New forecast updates from JMA and ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds as the window narrows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题