Latest short-range forecast guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles points to a Toronto maximum of 25–27 °C on August 3, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Mid-level flow supports modest warm advection with limited mixing under partly cloudy skies, while ensemble spread and diurnal timing uncertainties keep 26 °C narrowly ahead. Climatological norms for early August near 25–26 °C provide historical context, and any late-day boundary-layer deepening or cloud-cover changes could shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and surface observations ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日多伦多气温最高?
26°C 37%
25°C 27%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
21%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 27%
27°C 21%
24°C 7%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
27%
26°C
37%
27°C
21%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest short-range forecast guidance from Environment Canada and NOAA ensembles points to a Toronto maximum of 25–27 °C on August 3, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Mid-level flow supports modest warm advection with limited mixing under partly cloudy skies, while ensemble spread and diurnal timing uncertainties keep 26 °C narrowly ahead. Climatological norms for early August near 25–26 °C provide historical context, and any late-day boundary-layer deepening or cloud-cover changes could shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Traders are closely monitoring the next model cycles and surface observations ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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