Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月20日武汉气温最高？
6月20日武汉气温最高？
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
34°C 12.6%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
26℃或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
30%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C或更高
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 25%
34°C 12.6%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-20
26℃或以下
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
5%
29°C
$0 交易量
11%
30°C
$14 交易量
11%
31°C
$142 交易量
30%
32°C
$173 交易量
25%
33°C
$9 交易量
12%
34°C
$81 交易量
9%
35°C
$0 交易量
3%
36°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$420结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$420结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models, including those referenced by BBC Weather and other agencies, point to a maximum of 30–32°C in Wuhan on June 20 amid thundery showers and variable cloud cover. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes, as traders weigh the moderating effects of anticipated precipitation and humidity on daytime heating. Mid-June climatology in the region shows rising highs typically exceeding 30°C, yet model runs highlight sensitivity to the timing of convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by limiting solar radiation. Updated guidance closer to the date, particularly from Chinese meteorological services, will likely refine resolution between 31°C and 32°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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