Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.26-5.27% reflect trader concerns over entrenched inflation, fueled by oil prices near $95 amid Middle East tensions and persistent fiscal deficits. Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and comments from officials like Governor Michael Barr have lifted expectations for a possible September rate hike, with market-implied odds fluctuating around 50-65%. The labor market remains stable with unemployment at 4.2% and solid job gains, while May PCE inflation stood at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift rate expectations and long-end yields.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-09-30
5.60%
50%
5.55%
50%
5.50%
50%
5.45%
50%
5.42%
50%
5.39%
50%
5.36%
50%
5.33%
50%
5.30%
50%
$0.00 交易量
5.60%
$0 交易量
50%
5.55%
$0 交易量
50%
5.50%
$0 交易量
50%
5.45%
$0 交易量
50%
5.42%
$0 交易量
50%
5.39%
$0 交易量
50%
5.36%
$0 交易量
50%
5.33%
$0 交易量
50%
5.30%
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.26-5.27% reflect trader concerns over entrenched inflation, fueled by oil prices near $95 amid Middle East tensions and persistent fiscal deficits. Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and comments from officials like Governor Michael Barr have lifted expectations for a possible September rate hike, with market-implied odds fluctuating around 50-65%. The labor market remains stable with unemployment at 4.2% and solid job gains, while May PCE inflation stood at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift rate expectations and long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Elevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.26-5.27% reflect trader concerns over entrenched inflation, fueled by oil prices near $95 amid Middle East tensions and persistent fiscal deficits. Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and comments from officials like Governor Michael Barr have lifted expectations for a possible September rate hike, with market-implied odds fluctuating around 50-65%. The labor market remains stable with unemployment at 4.2% and solid job gains, while May PCE inflation stood at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift rate expectations and long-end yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETElevated 30-year Treasury yields near 5.26-5.27% reflect trader concerns over entrenched inflation, fueled by oil prices near $95 amid Middle East tensions and persistent fiscal deficits. Recent hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and comments from officials like Governor Michael Barr have lifted expectations for a possible September rate hike, with market-implied odds fluctuating around 50-65%. The labor market remains stable with unemployment at 4.2% and solid job gains, while May PCE inflation stood at 4.1% headline and 3.4% core. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, including updated economic projections, represents the key near-term catalyst that could shift rate expectations and long-end yields.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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