Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1-100 76.2%
>10万 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
2.5万-10万 2.1%
$293,223 交易量
$293,223 交易量
2026-12-31
1-100
71%
101-1k
4%
1000-2500
<1%
2,500-5,000
<1%
5000-10000
2%
1万-2.5万
2%
2.5万-10万
2%
>10万
5%
1-100 76.2%
>10万 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
2.5万-10万 2.1%
$293,223 交易量
$293,223 交易量
2026-12-31
1-100
$18,522 交易量
71%
101-1k
$41,423 交易量
4%
1000-2500
$11,324 交易量
<1%
2,500-5,000
$11,094 交易量
<1%
5000-10000
$11,989 交易量
2%
1万-2.5万
$116,872 交易量
2%
2.5万-10万
$11,454 交易量
2%
>10万
$26,118 交易量
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
交易量
$293,223结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETDonald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$293,223结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome for 2026 Gold Card sales because the program, launched via executive order in September 2025 and opened for applications in December, has generated minimal verified activity. By April 2026, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick reported just one approval despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in interest, with Department of Homeland Security filings showing only 338 requests and 165 applicants paying the $15,000 processing fee. The $1 million contribution (or $2 million corporate track) ties into EB-1/EB-2 categories but faces standard visa availability limits, rigorous vetting, and no automatic expedited advantage over existing backlogs. Limited uptake persists amid legal scrutiny, processing delays, and competition from other residency options, with no major acceleration reported in subsequent months. This evidence of slow implementation and subdued demand underpins the strong weighting toward minimal annual sales.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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