Escalating regional tensions tied to the Iran conflict continue to shape assessments around any potential Israeli airspace closure. Multiple temporary shutdowns occurred from February through July 2026 after US-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent missile-drone responses, with the Tel Aviv FIR reopening in phases subject to security reviews. The July 2026 breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire and renewed activity near the Strait of Hormuz prompted fresh EASA risk advisories, though commercial operations have since resumed. Ongoing concerns over Hezbollah and other proxy threats maintain elevated alerts, even as the airspace stays open into mid-August. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, military posture, and any new strikes that could trigger further restrictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,032,131 交易量
2026-08-15
8月15日
<1%
8月31日
6%
$27,032,131 交易量
8月15日
$983,866 交易量
<1%
8月31日
$1,025,081 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalating regional tensions tied to the Iran conflict continue to shape assessments around any potential Israeli airspace closure. Multiple temporary shutdowns occurred from February through July 2026 after US-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent missile-drone responses, with the Tel Aviv FIR reopening in phases subject to security reviews. The July 2026 breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire and renewed activity near the Strait of Hormuz prompted fresh EASA risk advisories, though commercial operations have since resumed. Ongoing concerns over Hezbollah and other proxy threats maintain elevated alerts, even as the airspace stays open into mid-August. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, military posture, and any new strikes that could trigger further restrictions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
交易量
$27,032,131结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Escalating regional tensions tied to the Iran conflict continue to shape assessments around any potential Israeli airspace closure. Multiple temporary shutdowns occurred from February through July 2026 after US-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent missile-drone responses, with the Tel Aviv FIR reopening in phases subject to security reviews. The July 2026 breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire and renewed activity near the Strait of Hormuz prompted fresh EASA risk advisories, though commercial operations have since resumed. Ongoing concerns over Hezbollah and other proxy threats maintain elevated alerts, even as the airspace stays open into mid-August. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, military posture, and any new strikes that could trigger further restrictions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,032,131结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating regional tensions tied to the Iran conflict continue to shape assessments around any potential Israeli airspace closure. Multiple temporary shutdowns occurred from February through July 2026 after US-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and subsequent missile-drone responses, with the Tel Aviv FIR reopening in phases subject to security reviews. The July 2026 breakdown of the US-Iran ceasefire and renewed activity near the Strait of Hormuz prompted fresh EASA risk advisories, though commercial operations have since resumed. Ongoing concerns over Hezbollah and other proxy threats maintain elevated alerts, even as the airspace stays open into mid-August. Traders monitor diplomatic signals, military posture, and any new strikes that could trigger further restrictions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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