Recent short-range model runs show notable spread in overnight minimums for Ankara on September 23, with Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and international ensembles pointing to lows near 11–14 °C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This central range sits between the market’s equally weighted extremes (≤6 °C or ≥16 °C), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear signal for record cool or unseasonably mild conditions. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, typical early-autumn humidity, and steering flow from the southwest will determine whether radiational cooling pushes the minimum lower or whether lingering moisture keeps readings elevated. New model cycles and official updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日安卡拉最低气温？
9月23日安卡拉最低气温？
6℃或以下 100%
16°C或更高 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
6℃或以下
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
22%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C或更高
100%
6℃或以下 100%
16°C或更高 100%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
6℃或以下
$0 交易量
100%
7°C
$0 交易量
39%
8°C
$0 交易量
39%
9°C
$0 交易量
39%
10°C
$0 交易量
40%
11°C
$0 交易量
40%
12°C
$0 交易量
22%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C或更高
$0 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs show notable spread in overnight minimums for Ankara on September 23, with Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and international ensembles pointing to lows near 11–14 °C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This central range sits between the market’s equally weighted extremes (≤6 °C or ≥16 °C), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear signal for record cool or unseasonably mild conditions. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, typical early-autumn humidity, and steering flow from the southwest will determine whether radiational cooling pushes the minimum lower or whether lingering moisture keeps readings elevated. New model cycles and official updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model runs show notable spread in overnight minimums for Ankara on September 23, with Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and international ensembles pointing to lows near 11–14 °C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This central range sits between the market’s equally weighted extremes (≤6 °C or ≥16 °C), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear signal for record cool or unseasonably mild conditions. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, typical early-autumn humidity, and steering flow from the southwest will determine whether radiational cooling pushes the minimum lower or whether lingering moisture keeps readings elevated. New model cycles and official updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent short-range model runs show notable spread in overnight minimums for Ankara on September 23, with Turkish Meteorological Service guidance and international ensembles pointing to lows near 11–14 °C amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover. This central range sits between the market’s equally weighted extremes (≤6 °C or ≥16 °C), reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a clear signal for record cool or unseasonably mild conditions. Diurnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, typical early-autumn humidity, and steering flow from the southwest will determine whether radiational cooling pushes the minimum lower or whether lingering moisture keeps readings elevated. New model cycles and official updates expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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