Trader consensus has converged sharply on a lowest temperature of 25°C in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions produced overnight lows near 25°C, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines where typical diurnal ranges span 4–6°C absent strong frontal systems or heavy rainfall. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or wind shifts noted in the 48-hour window preceding the date. Updated observational data or revised reanalysis products could still shift the outcome if previously unaccounted cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 94.0%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$64,048 交易量
$64,048 交易量
2026-05-15
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
-
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
94%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94.0%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
$64,048 交易量
$64,048 交易量
2026-05-15
18°C或以下
$2,541 交易量
<1%
19°C
$2,325 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,408 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,288 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,899 交易量
-
23°C
$5,213 交易量
<1%
24°C
$12,287 交易量
<1%
25°C
$8,751 交易量
94%
26°C
$12,015 交易量
<1%
27°C
$8,229 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,112 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on a lowest temperature of 25°C in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions produced overnight lows near 25°C, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines where typical diurnal ranges span 4–6°C absent strong frontal systems or heavy rainfall. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or wind shifts noted in the 48-hour window preceding the date. Updated observational data or revised reanalysis products could still shift the outcome if previously unaccounted cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
交易量
$64,048结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged sharply on a lowest temperature of 25°C in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions produced overnight lows near 25°C, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines where typical diurnal ranges span 4–6°C absent strong frontal systems or heavy rainfall. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or wind shifts noted in the 48-hour window preceding the date. Updated observational data or revised reanalysis products could still shift the outcome if previously unaccounted cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects emerge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$64,048结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
争议期
最终
Trader consensus has converged sharply on a lowest temperature of 25°C in Hong Kong on May 15, driven by official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory showing stable subtropical high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and minimal nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. These conditions produced overnight lows near 25°C, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines where typical diurnal ranges span 4–6°C absent strong frontal systems or heavy rainfall. Recent model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or wind shifts noted in the 48-hour window preceding the date. Updated observational data or revised reanalysis products could still shift the outcome if previously unaccounted cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects emerge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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