Stable subtropical high pressure and light winds have maintained elevated overnight temperatures across Hong Kong on September 20, with official forecasts and regional observations pointing to a daily minimum near 27°C. Model consensus from agencies shows limited cooling potential overnight, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 26–27°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects this evidence-based stability, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or increased cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日香港最低气温？
9月20日香港最低气温？
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C 1.4%
28°C <1%
$24,502 交易量
$24,502 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
98%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 98%
26°C 3%
25°C 1.4%
28°C <1%
$24,502 交易量
$24,502 交易量
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
$41 交易量
<1%
23°C
$41 交易量
<1%
24°C
$41 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,103 交易量
1%
26°C
$6,438 交易量
3%
27°C
$9,652 交易量
98%
28°C
$5,918 交易量
1%
29°C
$41 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,154 交易量
1%
31°C
$37 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable subtropical high pressure and light winds have maintained elevated overnight temperatures across Hong Kong on September 20, with official forecasts and regional observations pointing to a daily minimum near 27°C. Model consensus from agencies shows limited cooling potential overnight, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 26–27°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects this evidence-based stability, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or increased cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$24,502结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Stable subtropical high pressure and light winds have maintained elevated overnight temperatures across Hong Kong on September 20, with official forecasts and regional observations pointing to a daily minimum near 27°C. Model consensus from agencies shows limited cooling potential overnight, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 26–27°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects this evidence-based stability, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or increased cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$24,502结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETStable subtropical high pressure and light winds have maintained elevated overnight temperatures across Hong Kong on September 20, with official forecasts and regional observations pointing to a daily minimum near 27°C. Model consensus from agencies shows limited cooling potential overnight, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 26–27°C. Trader positioning at 97.5% implied probability for 27°C reflects this evidence-based stability, though a stronger-than-expected rain band or increased cloud cover could allow modest additional cooling toward 26°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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