Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C on September 21 amid light winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C. This aligns with ensemble model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C under high humidity and weak steering flow, without significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Recent upper-air disturbances have maintained elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal drops, consistent with climatological norms for late-September conditions in the region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C as the resolution threshold, with lower outcomes requiring unexpected model shifts or localized cooling not currently indicated in official guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日香港最低气温？
9月21日香港最低气温？
27°C 52%
28°C 23%
24°C 17%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
17%
25°C
10%
26°C
16%
27°C
52%
28°C
23%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 23%
24°C 17%
26°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C
$0 交易量
17%
25°C
$101 交易量
10%
26°C
$397 交易量
16%
27°C
$793 交易量
52%
28°C
$1,490 交易量
23%
29°C
$0 交易量
5%
30°C
$79 交易量
1%
31°C
$79 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$4 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C on September 21 amid light winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C. This aligns with ensemble model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C under high humidity and weak steering flow, without significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Recent upper-air disturbances have maintained elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal drops, consistent with climatological norms for late-September conditions in the region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C as the resolution threshold, with lower outcomes requiring unexpected model shifts or localized cooling not currently indicated in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,942结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C on September 21 amid light winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C. This aligns with ensemble model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C under high humidity and weak steering flow, without significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Recent upper-air disturbances have maintained elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal drops, consistent with climatological norms for late-September conditions in the region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C as the resolution threshold, with lower outcomes requiring unexpected model shifts or localized cooling not currently indicated in official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,942结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum of 27°C on September 21 amid light winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C. This aligns with ensemble model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near 27°C under high humidity and weak steering flow, without significant cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Recent upper-air disturbances have maintained elevated moisture levels that limit nocturnal drops, consistent with climatological norms for late-September conditions in the region. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C as the resolution threshold, with lower outcomes requiring unexpected model shifts or localized cooling not currently indicated in official guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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