Current forecasts from regional models indicate stable southwest monsoon flow and high humidity will keep Karachi's overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 12. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show little day-to-day variability, with light winds and partly cloudy skies preventing sharp drops while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation cap extremes. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, as traders weigh minor model spread in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing against the low historical likelihood of anomalous cooling or heat this late in the season. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international centers over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日卡拉奇的最低温度？
9月12日卡拉奇的最低温度？
21°C或以下 98%
31°C或更高 98%
25°C 40%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
98%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
8%
30°C
37%
31°C或更高
98%
21°C或以下 98%
31°C或更高 98%
25°C 40%
22°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
98%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
21%
27°C
$0 交易量
19%
28°C
$0 交易量
37%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
37%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate stable southwest monsoon flow and high humidity will keep Karachi's overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 12. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show little day-to-day variability, with light winds and partly cloudy skies preventing sharp drops while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation cap extremes. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, as traders weigh minor model spread in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing against the low historical likelihood of anomalous cooling or heat this late in the season. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international centers over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate stable southwest monsoon flow and high humidity will keep Karachi's overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 12. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show little day-to-day variability, with light winds and partly cloudy skies preventing sharp drops while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation cap extremes. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, as traders weigh minor model spread in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing against the low historical likelihood of anomalous cooling or heat this late in the season. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international centers over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from regional models indicate stable southwest monsoon flow and high humidity will keep Karachi's overnight radiative cooling limited, supporting minimum temperatures near 25–26°C on September 12. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show little day-to-day variability, with light winds and partly cloudy skies preventing sharp drops while urban heat effects and sea-breeze moderation cap extremes. This consensus underpins the near-even market split between sub-21°C and 31°C-plus outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 25–27°C, as traders weigh minor model spread in dew-point depression and boundary-layer mixing against the low historical likelihood of anomalous cooling or heat this late in the season. Updated runs from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international centers over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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