Recent observational data from the UK Met Office confirmed a minimum temperature of 10°C in London on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing surface temperatures held above typical spring baselines due to mild Atlantic airflow. This reading, recorded at standard 1.5-meter instrument shelters across central London stations, matches the 99.9% market-implied odds and reflects historical May variability where minima rarely drop below 8°C without strong northerly outbreaks. Updated post-event analysis could shift the figure only if microclimate corrections or station-specific anomalies emerge, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日伦敦最低气温?
10°C 99.8%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$15,043 交易量
$15,043 交易量
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
10°C 99.8%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$15,043 交易量
$15,043 交易量
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent observational data from the UK Met Office confirmed a minimum temperature of 10°C in London on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure system that limited overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, showing surface temperatures held above typical spring baselines due to mild Atlantic airflow. This reading, recorded at standard 1.5-meter instrument shelters across central London stations, matches the 99.9% market-implied odds and reflects historical May variability where minima rarely drop below 8°C without strong northerly outbreaks. Updated post-event analysis could shift the figure only if microclimate corrections or station-specific anomalies emerge, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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