Latest Met Office and GFS model runs indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C in London on September 12 under mild southwesterly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical September variability around the 11.8 °C climatological average low. No strong cold advection or high-pressure setup is projected to drive temperatures below 12 °C or above 15 °C before resolution. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日伦敦最低气温？
9月12日伦敦最低气温？
13°C 36%
14°C 36%
11°C 19%
15°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
19%
12°C
13%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
11%
16°C
10%
17°C
3%
18°C或更高
3%
13°C 36%
14°C 36%
11°C 19%
15°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
2%
10°C
$0 交易量
4%
11°C
$0 交易量
19%
12°C
$22 交易量
13%
13°C
$262 交易量
36%
14°C
$124 交易量
36%
15°C
$92 交易量
11%
16°C
$11 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and GFS model runs indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C in London on September 12 under mild southwesterly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical September variability around the 11.8 °C climatological average low. No strong cold advection or high-pressure setup is projected to drive temperatures below 12 °C or above 15 °C before resolution. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$511结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and GFS model runs indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C in London on September 12 under mild southwesterly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical September variability around the 11.8 °C climatological average low. No strong cold advection or high-pressure setup is projected to drive temperatures below 12 °C or above 15 °C before resolution. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$511结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest Met Office and GFS model runs indicate overnight lows of 12–14 °C in London on September 12 under mild southwesterly flow and partly clear skies that permit moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the market’s near-even split between 13 °C and 14 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble spread and typical September variability around the 11.8 °C climatological average low. No strong cold advection or high-pressure setup is projected to drive temperatures below 12 °C or above 15 °C before resolution. Updated model guidance and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the final observational constraints for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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