**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日伦敦最低气温？
9月11日伦敦最低气温？
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$6,911 交易量
$6,911 交易量
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$6,911 交易量
$6,911 交易量
2026-09-11
10°C或以下
$40 交易量
否
11°C
$50 交易量
否
12°C
$40 交易量
否
13°C
$40 交易量
否
14°C
$318 交易量
否
15°C
$2,160 交易量
否
16°C
$2,808 交易量
是
17°C
$1,281 交易量
否
18°C
$70 交易量
否
19°C
$50 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$55 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$6,911结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,911结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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