Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日伦敦最低气温？
9月23日伦敦最低气温？
14°C 40%
16°C 38%
13°C 36%
10°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
9°C或以下
3%
10°C
35%
11°C
35%
12°C
35%
13°C
36%
14°C
40%
15°C
29%
16°C
38%
17°C
5%
18°C
35%
19°C或更高
2%
14°C 40%
16°C 38%
13°C 36%
10°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
9°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
10°C
$0 交易量
35%
11°C
$0 交易量
35%
12°C
$0 交易量
35%
13°C
$0 交易量
36%
14°C
$0 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
29%
16°C
$0 交易量
38%
17°C
$0 交易量
5%
18°C
$0 交易量
35%
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures in London on September 23 likely falling between 10–16 °C, with the spread in market-implied odds reflecting uncertainty over cloud cover and wind speed during the critical pre-dawn hours. Clear or partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increasing low-level moisture or light southerly flow could limit the drop. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 11–12 °C, but the current warm anomaly and light winds add variability. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Met Office updates for refinements in boundary-layer conditions ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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