Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 18 with light southwesterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures around 10–12 °C in Munich. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C and reflects limited radiative cooling under cloud cover rather than a strong cold-air outbreak. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant shifts in the past 24–48 hours, though small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus, with elevated implied odds on milder bins such as 15 °C or higher, reflects this guidance favoring near-normal rather than anomalously cold readings. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the evening of the 17th will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月18日慕尼黑最低气温？
15°C或更高 52%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
25%
6°C
29%
7°C
30%
8°C
28%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
38%
13°C
38%
14°C
38%
15°C或更高
52%
15°C或更高 52%
9°C 40%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
5°C或以下
$100 交易量
25%
6°C
$20 交易量
29%
7°C
$10 交易量
30%
8°C
$0 交易量
28%
9°C
$0 交易量
40%
10°C
$0 交易量
39%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
38%
13°C
$0 交易量
38%
14°C
$0 交易量
38%
15°C或更高
$0 交易量
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 18 with light southwesterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures around 10–12 °C in Munich. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C and reflects limited radiative cooling under cloud cover rather than a strong cold-air outbreak. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant shifts in the past 24–48 hours, though small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus, with elevated implied odds on milder bins such as 15 °C or higher, reflects this guidance favoring near-normal rather than anomalously cold readings. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the evening of the 17th will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 18 with light southwesterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures around 10–12 °C in Munich. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C and reflects limited radiative cooling under cloud cover rather than a strong cold-air outbreak. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant shifts in the past 24–48 hours, though small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus, with elevated implied odds on milder bins such as 15 °C or higher, reflects this guidance favoring near-normal rather than anomalously cold readings. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the evening of the 17th will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$130结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate mostly cloudy conditions overnight into September 18 with light southwesterly winds, supporting minimum temperatures around 10–12 °C in Munich. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 9.8 °C and reflects limited radiative cooling under cloud cover rather than a strong cold-air outbreak. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant shifts in the past 24–48 hours, though small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus, with elevated implied odds on milder bins such as 15 °C or higher, reflects this guidance favoring near-normal rather than anomalously cold readings. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the evening of the 17th will provide the final inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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