Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or high pressure allowing deeper drops. Historical September lows average around 9.7°C, while recent days have shown similar mild conditions with limited diurnal range. The closely matched market odds on extremes (6°C or below versus 16°C or higher) reflect uncertainty in precise overnight minima from model spread and potential for localized variations, though ensemble consensus clusters in the 10–12°C range with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月19日慕尼黑最低气温？
6°C或以下 80%
16°C或更高 78%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
6°C或以下
80%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C或更高
78%
6°C或以下 80%
16°C或更高 78%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
6°C或以下
$0 交易量
80%
7°C
$0 交易量
25%
8°C
$0 交易量
24%
9°C
$0 交易量
21%
10°C
$0 交易量
21%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
5%
15°C
$0 交易量
5%
16°C或更高
$0 交易量
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or high pressure allowing deeper drops. Historical September lows average around 9.7°C, while recent days have shown similar mild conditions with limited diurnal range. The closely matched market odds on extremes (6°C or below versus 16°C or higher) reflect uncertainty in precise overnight minima from model spread and potential for localized variations, though ensemble consensus clusters in the 10–12°C range with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or high pressure allowing deeper drops. Historical September lows average around 9.7°C, while recent days have shown similar mild conditions with limited diurnal range. The closely matched market odds on extremes (6°C or below versus 16°C or higher) reflect uncertainty in precise overnight minima from model spread and potential for localized variations, though ensemble consensus clusters in the 10–12°C range with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or high pressure allowing deeper drops. Historical September lows average around 9.7°C, while recent days have shown similar mild conditions with limited diurnal range. The closely matched market odds on extremes (6°C or below versus 16°C or higher) reflect uncertainty in precise overnight minima from model spread and potential for localized variations, though ensemble consensus clusters in the 10–12°C range with low precipitation risk. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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