Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich for September 20 clustering near 11–13°C under mild westerly flow, with partial cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September 20 averages near 9.5°C provide context, yet current guidance favors slightly milder conditions absent strong high pressure. New model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日慕尼黑最低气温?
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
10°C 39%
6°C或以下
17%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
19%
12°C
11%
13°C
7%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C或更高
4%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
7°C 39%
10°C 39%
6°C或以下
17%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
39%
11°C
19%
12°C
11%
13°C
7%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate overnight lows in Munich for September 20 clustering near 11–13°C under mild westerly flow, with partial cloud cover and light winds limiting radiative cooling. Subtle differences among outcomes hinge on exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing overnight, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical September 20 averages near 9.5°C provide context, yet current guidance favors slightly milder conditions absent strong high pressure. New model runs and updated observations over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题