Current forecast models from European weather centers show substantial uncertainty in Munich's overnight minimum on September 21, with ensemble spreads placing the low between roughly 7–12 °C and explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, potentially pushing readings toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or a modest warm-air advection would moderate the minimum. Official DWD station data and real-time observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, and any late-model adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could still shift the final value within the narrow range traders currently price.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日慕尼黑最低气温？
9月21日慕尼黑最低气温？
11°C 97%
8°C 51%
7°C或以下 51%
9°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
7°C或以下
51%
8°C
51%
9°C
50%
10°C
50%
11°C
97%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
11°C 97%
8°C 51%
7°C或以下 51%
9°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
51%
8°C
$0 交易量
51%
9°C
$0 交易量
50%
10°C
$0 交易量
50%
11°C
$0 交易量
97%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$20 交易量
<1%
14°C
$15 交易量
<1%
15°C
$20 交易量
<1%
16°C
$15 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European weather centers show substantial uncertainty in Munich's overnight minimum on September 21, with ensemble spreads placing the low between roughly 7–12 °C and explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, potentially pushing readings toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or a modest warm-air advection would moderate the minimum. Official DWD station data and real-time observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, and any late-model adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could still shift the final value within the narrow range traders currently price.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$85结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from European weather centers show substantial uncertainty in Munich's overnight minimum on September 21, with ensemble spreads placing the low between roughly 7–12 °C and explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, potentially pushing readings toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or a modest warm-air advection would moderate the minimum. Official DWD station data and real-time observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, and any late-model adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could still shift the final value within the narrow range traders currently price.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$85结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from European weather centers show substantial uncertainty in Munich's overnight minimum on September 21, with ensemble spreads placing the low between roughly 7–12 °C and explaining the near-even market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Clear skies and light winds would enhance radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure ridge, potentially pushing readings toward the lower end, while increased cloud cover or a modest warm-air advection would moderate the minimum. Official DWD station data and real-time observations will resolve the market once the calendar day ends, and any late-model adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could still shift the final value within the narrow range traders currently price.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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