Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 14–17°C in Paris on September 5, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure near 1025 hPa that promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 15°C (34%) and 16°C (33.5%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and dew points near 10–13°C that cap deeper cooling. The 27% implied probability for 14°C or below reflects residual model spread and historical September variability, where clear nights can drop 2–4°C below daytime averages. Final resolution hinges on overnight observations from Météo-France stations, with any increase in wind or unexpected cloud cover likely shifting odds toward the higher end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日巴黎最低气温？
9月5日巴黎最低气温？
15°C 35%
16°C 32%
14°C或以下 29%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
29%
15°C
36%
16°C
32%
17°C
7%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
2%
15°C 35%
16°C 32%
14°C或以下 29%
17°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
14°C或以下
$421 交易量
29%
15°C
$1,084 交易量
36%
16°C
$1,375 交易量
32%
17°C
$298 交易量
7%
18°C
$0 交易量
6%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
2%
21°C
$0 交易量
2%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C
$0 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 14–17°C in Paris on September 5, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure near 1025 hPa that promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 15°C (34%) and 16°C (33.5%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and dew points near 10–13°C that cap deeper cooling. The 27% implied probability for 14°C or below reflects residual model spread and historical September variability, where clear nights can drop 2–4°C below daytime averages. Final resolution hinges on overnight observations from Météo-France stations, with any increase in wind or unexpected cloud cover likely shifting odds toward the higher end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,179结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 14–17°C in Paris on September 5, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure near 1025 hPa that promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 15°C (34%) and 16°C (33.5%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and dew points near 10–13°C that cap deeper cooling. The 27% implied probability for 14°C or below reflects residual model spread and historical September variability, where clear nights can drop 2–4°C below daytime averages. Final resolution hinges on overnight observations from Météo-France stations, with any increase in wind or unexpected cloud cover likely shifting odds toward the higher end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,179结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature of 14–17°C in Paris on September 5, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and high pressure near 1025 hPa that promotes moderate overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 15°C (34%) and 16°C (33.5%), as traders weigh ensemble guidance showing limited cloud cover and dew points near 10–13°C that cap deeper cooling. The 27% implied probability for 14°C or below reflects residual model spread and historical September variability, where clear nights can drop 2–4°C below daytime averages. Final resolution hinges on overnight observations from Météo-France stations, with any increase in wind or unexpected cloud cover likely shifting odds toward the higher end of the range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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