**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around an 18–20°C minimum for September 22 in Incheon/Seoul.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration analogs, WeatherBug, Met Office, and Yr.no project overnight lows of roughly 18–20°C (64–68°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and moderate humidity that supports radiative cooling without excessive dew-point suppression. The narrow spread among leading outcomes (19°C at 32.5%, 20°C at 29.5%, 18°C at 19.5%) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes rather than any major weather shift. Key differentiating factors include small model differences in nocturnal cooling rates—driven by exact wind speeds that influence turbulent mixing, surface radiative losses under clear conditions, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or dew points. A slightly stronger breeze or increased cloud cover could lift the minimum toward 20–21°C, while calmer conditions and drier air could allow it to dip to 18°C or below. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the temperature range tightly clustered and explaining why probabilities for extremes (below 17°C or above 21°C) remain low. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 22nd will be the primary near-term catalysts for any market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月22日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
19°C 40%
20°C 31%
18°C 12%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
7%
17°C
9%
18°C
12%
19°C
40%
20°C
31%
21°C
11%
22°C
10%
23°C
7%
24°C或更高
3%
19°C 40%
20°C 31%
18°C 12%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
5%
16°C
$0 交易量
7%
17°C
$0 交易量
9%
18°C
$990 交易量
12%
19°C
$1,372 交易量
40%
20°C
$1,198 交易量
31%
21°C
$3 交易量
11%
22°C
$0 交易量
10%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C或更高
$48 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around an 18–20°C minimum for September 22 in Incheon/Seoul.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration analogs, WeatherBug, Met Office, and Yr.no project overnight lows of roughly 18–20°C (64–68°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and moderate humidity that supports radiative cooling without excessive dew-point suppression.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes (19°C at 32.5%, 20°C at 29.5%, 18°C at 19.5%) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes rather than any major weather shift. Key differentiating factors include small model differences in nocturnal cooling rates—driven by exact wind speeds that influence turbulent mixing, surface radiative losses under clear conditions, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or dew points. A slightly stronger breeze or increased cloud cover could lift the minimum toward 20–21°C, while calmer conditions and drier air could allow it to dip to 18°C or below.
No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the temperature range tightly clustered and explaining why probabilities for extremes (below 17°C or above 21°C) remain low. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 22nd will be the primary near-term catalysts for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,612结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around an 18–20°C minimum for September 22 in Incheon/Seoul.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration analogs, WeatherBug, Met Office, and Yr.no project overnight lows of roughly 18–20°C (64–68°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and moderate humidity that supports radiative cooling without excessive dew-point suppression.
The narrow spread among leading outcomes (19°C at 32.5%, 20°C at 29.5%, 18°C at 19.5%) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes rather than any major weather shift. Key differentiating factors include small model differences in nocturnal cooling rates—driven by exact wind speeds that influence turbulent mixing, surface radiative losses under clear conditions, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or dew points. A slightly stronger breeze or increased cloud cover could lift the minimum toward 20–21°C, while calmer conditions and drier air could allow it to dip to 18°C or below.
No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the temperature range tightly clustered and explaining why probabilities for extremes (below 17°C or above 21°C) remain low. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 22nd will be the primary near-term catalysts for any market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,612结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies are anchoring trader consensus around an 18–20°C minimum for September 22 in Incheon/Seoul.** Multiple official and model forecasts from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration analogs, WeatherBug, Met Office, and Yr.no project overnight lows of roughly 18–20°C (64–68°F) under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and moderate humidity that supports radiative cooling without excessive dew-point suppression. The narrow spread among leading outcomes (19°C at 32.5%, 20°C at 29.5%, 18°C at 19.5%) reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer processes rather than any major weather shift. Key differentiating factors include small model differences in nocturnal cooling rates—driven by exact wind speeds that influence turbulent mixing, surface radiative losses under clear conditions, and minor variations in 850 hPa temperatures or dew points. A slightly stronger breeze or increased cloud cover could lift the minimum toward 20–21°C, while calmer conditions and drier air could allow it to dip to 18°C or below. No significant frontal systems or precipitation are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping the temperature range tightly clustered and explaining why probabilities for extremes (below 17°C or above 21°C) remain low. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on the 22nd will be the primary near-term catalysts for any market movement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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