Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's overnight low for September 14 near 24–25°C amid scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including easterly flow and residual moisture from earlier systems, introduce variability that could allow brief intrusions of cooler air or enhanced evaporative cooling if rainfall intensifies. With leading market-implied odds for 21°C or below at 32.5% and outcomes clustered between 21–26°C, traders are pricing genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs and local station measurements. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日深圳最低气温？
9月14日深圳最低气温？
21°C或以下 66%
31°C或以上 47%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
66%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C或以上
47%
21°C或以下 66%
31°C或以上 47%
22°C 39%
23°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
66%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
22%
25°C
$0 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
30%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C
$0 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
39%
31°C或以上
$0 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's overnight low for September 14 near 24–25°C amid scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including easterly flow and residual moisture from earlier systems, introduce variability that could allow brief intrusions of cooler air or enhanced evaporative cooling if rainfall intensifies. With leading market-implied odds for 21°C or below at 32.5% and outcomes clustered between 21–26°C, traders are pricing genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs and local station measurements. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's overnight low for September 14 near 24–25°C amid scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including easterly flow and residual moisture from earlier systems, introduce variability that could allow brief intrusions of cooler air or enhanced evaporative cooling if rainfall intensifies. With leading market-implied odds for 21°C or below at 32.5% and outcomes clustered between 21–26°C, traders are pricing genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs and local station measurements. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models place Shenzhen's overnight low for September 14 near 24–25°C amid scattered showers and persistent cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including easterly flow and residual moisture from earlier systems, introduce variability that could allow brief intrusions of cooler air or enhanced evaporative cooling if rainfall intensifies. With leading market-implied odds for 21°C or below at 32.5% and outcomes clustered between 21–26°C, traders are pricing genuine uncertainty in the final 48-hour model runs and local station measurements. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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