Trader consensus shows near-even implied odds between extreme low (21°C or below) and high (31°C or higher) outcomes for Singapore’s September 18 minimum, driven by model spread in overnight radiative cooling under southwest monsoon flow. Persistent humidity above 70% and scattered thundery showers—forecast by the Meteorological Service Singapore to increase in the second half of the month—limit clear-sky cooling, keeping most guidance near the long-term September average minimum of 25.2°C. However, localized convergence or brief clear spells could allow brief drops toward 24–26°C, while suppressed convection might hold readings above 27°C. Ensemble variability and the narrow 24-hour resolution window amplify uncertainty ahead of updated official briefings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡9月18日的最低温度?
21°C或以下 98%
31°C或更高 98%
27°C 40%
24°C 39%
21°C或以下
98%
22°C
13%
23°C
13%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
24%
28°C
19%
29°C
38%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
98%
21°C或以下 98%
31°C或更高 98%
27°C 40%
24°C 39%
21°C或以下
98%
22°C
13%
23°C
13%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
24%
28°C
19%
29°C
38%
30°C
39%
31°C或更高
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus shows near-even implied odds between extreme low (21°C or below) and high (31°C or higher) outcomes for Singapore’s September 18 minimum, driven by model spread in overnight radiative cooling under southwest monsoon flow. Persistent humidity above 70% and scattered thundery showers—forecast by the Meteorological Service Singapore to increase in the second half of the month—limit clear-sky cooling, keeping most guidance near the long-term September average minimum of 25.2°C. However, localized convergence or brief clear spells could allow brief drops toward 24–26°C, while suppressed convection might hold readings above 27°C. Ensemble variability and the narrow 24-hour resolution window amplify uncertainty ahead of updated official briefings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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