Traders have driven the implied probability of a 26°C-or-higher high temperature in Jinan on September 18 to 100% because official forecasts and real-time observational data consistently project afternoon maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple meteorological models show surface heating continuing through midday without significant cloud buildup or precipitation that would suppress temperatures below the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27°C, providing climatological context for the current warm anomaly. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance from agencies monitoring the area. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by converging forecast runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日济南气温最高？
9月18日济南气温最高？
26°C或更高 100.0%
16℃或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
16℃或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
100%
26°C或更高 100.0%
16℃或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
16℃或以下
$801 交易量
<1%
17°C
$147 交易量
<1%
18°C
$147 交易量
<1%
19°C
$147 交易量
<1%
20°C
$147 交易量
<1%
21°C
$297 交易量
<1%
22°C
$216 交易量
<1%
23℃
$187 交易量
<1%
24°C
$173 交易量
<1%
25°C
$498 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$667 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have driven the implied probability of a 26°C-or-higher high temperature in Jinan on September 18 to 100% because official forecasts and real-time observational data consistently project afternoon maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple meteorological models show surface heating continuing through midday without significant cloud buildup or precipitation that would suppress temperatures below the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27°C, providing climatological context for the current warm anomaly. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance from agencies monitoring the area. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by converging forecast runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,427结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have driven the implied probability of a 26°C-or-higher high temperature in Jinan on September 18 to 100% because official forecasts and real-time observational data consistently project afternoon maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple meteorological models show surface heating continuing through midday without significant cloud buildup or precipitation that would suppress temperatures below the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27°C, providing climatological context for the current warm anomaly. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance from agencies monitoring the area. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by converging forecast runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,427结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETTraders have driven the implied probability of a 26°C-or-higher high temperature in Jinan on September 18 to 100% because official forecasts and real-time observational data consistently project afternoon maxima of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds. Multiple meteorological models show surface heating continuing through midday without significant cloud buildup or precipitation that would suppress temperatures below the threshold. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27°C, providing climatological context for the current warm anomaly. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unexpected convective development, though no such signals appear in the latest guidance from agencies monitoring the area. Market-implied odds reflect this strong consensus backed by converging forecast runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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