Recent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日郑州气温最高？
9月18日郑州气温最高？
26°C 39%
25°C 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
22℃或以下
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
11%
25°C
31%
26°C
39%
27°C
25%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
8%
31°C
5%
32°C或更高
4%
26°C 39%
25°C 31%
28°C 28%
27°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
22℃或以下
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
11%
25°C
$0 交易量
31%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
25%
28°C
$0 交易量
28%
29°C
$0 交易量
23%
30°C
$0 交易量
8%
31°C
$0 交易量
5%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent short-range forecast model runs for Zhengzhou show ensemble spreads centered on 26–29°C maxima under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities across those thresholds. Seasonal climatology places mid-September daily highs near 26–27°C, while current synoptic conditions—persistent cloud cover and modest moisture—limit strong diurnal heating and introduce uncertainty in the precise peak value depending on any afternoon clearing. Official surface observations from the China Meteorological Administration tomorrow will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest GFS and ECMWF guidance against historical analogs for similar late-summer patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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