Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日特拉维夫最低气温？
9月14日特拉维夫最低气温？
19°C或以下 77%
24°C 44%
25°C 39%
23°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
77%
20°C
18%
21°C
23%
22°C
15%
23°C
26%
24°C
35%
25°C
27%
26°C
25%
27°C
18%
28°C
17%
29℃或更高
13%
19°C或以下 77%
24°C 44%
25°C 39%
23°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
77%
20°C
$0 交易量
18%
21°C
$0 交易量
23%
22°C
$3 交易量
15%
23°C
$3 交易量
26%
24°C
$10 交易量
35%
25°C
$3 交易量
27%
26°C
$0 交易量
25%
27°C
$0 交易量
18%
28°C
$0 交易量
17%
29℃或更高
$0 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 14 most likely between 22–25°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cloud cover overnight. This tight clustering around 23–25°C, reflected in market-implied odds of 30–39% for those outcomes, stems from subtle differences in simulated radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer mixing, and Mediterranean sea-breeze timing that can shift the nocturnal low by 1–2°C. Clear skies favor stronger cooling toward 23°C, while slightly higher humidity or variable winds support 24–25°C; historical September minima average near 23°C, providing context for the current forecast spread. Updated model guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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