Latest forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 15, supported by stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limit daytime heating while permitting modest overnight radiative cooling moderated by the Mediterranean. This consensus from sources such as GFS aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C lows and current observations showing no incoming fronts or increased humidity to alter the pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 39% may reflect trader weighting of model spread or potential for slightly stronger cooling under calm conditions, while the clustering around 21–23°C bins captures the narrow uncertainty range typical for this stable late-summer setup. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日特拉维夫最低气温?
19°C或以下 79%
23°C 40%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
19°C或以下
79%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
22%
26°C
19%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
19°C或以下 79%
23°C 40%
21°C 26%
22°C 26%
19°C或以下
79%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
22%
26°C
19%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecast models indicate a daily minimum near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 15, supported by stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limit daytime heating while permitting modest overnight radiative cooling moderated by the Mediterranean. This consensus from sources such as GFS aligns with historical September averages of 23–24°C lows and current observations showing no incoming fronts or increased humidity to alter the pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below at 39% may reflect trader weighting of model spread or potential for slightly stronger cooling under calm conditions, while the clustering around 21–23°C bins captures the narrow uncertainty range typical for this stable late-summer setup. Updated model runs and official Israeli Meteorological Service guidance remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题