**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.** This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日特拉维夫最低气温？
9月23日特拉维夫最低气温？
19°C或以下 99%
29°C或更高 98%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
19°C或以下
99%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
23%
24°C
21%
25°C
20%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C或更高
98%
19°C或以下 99%
29°C或更高 98%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
99%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
23%
24°C
$0 交易量
21%
25°C
$0 交易量
20%
26°C
$0 交易量
39%
27°C
$0 交易量
39%
28°C
$0 交易量
39%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.**
This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.**
This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-23市场开放时间
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, point to a stable high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean with light winds and minimal cloud cover, producing overnight radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 23–25°C for Tel Aviv on September 23.** This places the expected low firmly between the market’s leading tail outcomes of 19°C or below and 29°C or higher, both near 49–50% implied probability. Key differentiators include subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing from the Mediterranean (currently ~26–27°C surface water), and any late-night wind shift that could limit cooling to the mid-20s or allow brief radiative drops toward 22°C. Recent days have shown similar 23–25°C minima under comparable subsidence, with no major synoptic change expected before Wednesday night. Updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance plus official Israel Meteorological Service briefings will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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