**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9月10日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9°C 100.0%
3°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$787 交易量
$787 交易量
2026-09-10
3°C或以下
否
4°C
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C或更高
否
9°C 100.0%
3°C或以下 <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$787 交易量
$787 交易量
2026-09-10
3°C或以下
$132 交易量
否
4°C
$66 交易量
否
5°C
$45 交易量
否
6°C
$137 交易量
否
7°C
$101 交易量
否
8°C
$45 交易量
否
9°C
$80 交易量
是
10°C
$72 交易量
否
11°C
$28 交易量
否
12°C
$3 交易量
否
13°C或更高
$80 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$787结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$787结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current official forecasts and real-time observations from MetService and international models indicate a minimum temperature of 9°C for Wellington on September 10, driving the market's near-certain 99.5% implied probability on that outcome.** Strong southerly flow following a cold front, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity, has limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from dropping further as confirmed by station readings near 9°C and model consensus. Historical September minima in the region average around 7–8°C, but today's specific atmospheric setup supports the higher floor. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing skies or a sharper wind shift allowing greater heat loss before midnight, though updated guidance shows low likelihood of such changes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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