Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日郑州最低气温？
9月12日郑州最低气温？
18°C 99.5%
15°C或以下 20%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,659 交易量
$1,659 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
18°C 99.5%
15°C或以下 20%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,659 交易量
$1,659 交易量
2026-09-12
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
16°C
$15 交易量
否
17°C
$73 交易量
否
18°C
$283 交易量
是
19°C
$163 交易量
否
20°C
$1,000 交易量
否
21°C
$25 交易量
否
22°C
$25 交易量
否
23°C
$25 交易量
否
24°C
$25 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$25 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$1,659结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,659结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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