**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C low for Zhengzhou on September 6, 2026, at 70% implied probability.** This reflects official and model-derived observations of clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure regime, which permitted moderate radiational cooling overnight without significant cloud insulation or moisture. Early September climatology for the region typically features daily lows near 20–22°C as subtropical influence wanes; the observed minimum aligns closely with this baseline and recent model runs from regional meteorological services. Nearby alternatives at 17–18°C carry low single-digit odds, underscoring limited downside from unexpected advection or measurement variance at standard stations. With resolution imminent based on verified daily records, the market reflects aggregated trader assessment of surface observations rather than longer-range uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日郑州最低气温?
19°C 99.5%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
$1,757 交易量
$1,757 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
19°C 99.5%
17°C 1.0%
18°C 1.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
$1,757 交易量
$1,757 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 5, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C low for Zhengzhou on September 6, 2026, at 70% implied probability.** This reflects official and model-derived observations of clear to partly cloudy skies under a stable high-pressure regime, which permitted moderate radiational cooling overnight without significant cloud insulation or moisture. Early September climatology for the region typically features daily lows near 20–22°C as subtropical influence wanes; the observed minimum aligns closely with this baseline and recent model runs from regional meteorological services. Nearby alternatives at 17–18°C carry low single-digit odds, underscoring limited downside from unexpected advection or measurement variance at standard stations. With resolution imminent based on verified daily records, the market reflects aggregated trader assessment of surface observations rather than longer-range uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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