Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at MDC Brooklyn awaiting trial on 2020 narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges that were expanded by superseding indictment after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and co-defendants have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings continuing into mid-2026 amid a second parallel investigation and pretrial motions over sanctions, counsel access, and evidence. Trader consensus shows a fragmented field because outcomes hinge on whether prosecutors secure a conviction carrying mandatory minimums or decades-long guidelines, a plea agreement caps exposure, charges are dismissed on immunity or procedural grounds, or the case resolves without incarceration. Upcoming status hearings and any plea developments could shift probabilities among the leading buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于无监禁 35%
60年以上 25%
20-40 17.0%
少于20年 11.1%
$566,990 交易量
$566,990 交易量
2027-12-31
无监禁
35%
少于20年
11%
20-40
14%
40–60
6%
60年以上
25%
无监禁 35%
60年以上 25%
20-40 17.0%
少于20年 11.1%
$566,990 交易量
$566,990 交易量
2027-12-31
无监禁
$382,553 交易量
35%
少于20年
$76,691 交易量
11%
20-40
$50,298 交易量
14%
40–60
$20,195 交易量
6%
60年以上
$37,254 交易量
25%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at MDC Brooklyn awaiting trial on 2020 narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges that were expanded by superseding indictment after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and co-defendants have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings continuing into mid-2026 amid a second parallel investigation and pretrial motions over sanctions, counsel access, and evidence. Trader consensus shows a fragmented field because outcomes hinge on whether prosecutors secure a conviction carrying mandatory minimums or decades-long guidelines, a plea agreement caps exposure, charges are dismissed on immunity or procedural grounds, or the case resolves without incarceration. Upcoming status hearings and any plea developments could shift probabilities among the leading buckets.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
交易量
$566,990结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at MDC Brooklyn awaiting trial on 2020 narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges that were expanded by superseding indictment after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and co-defendants have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings continuing into mid-2026 amid a second parallel investigation and pretrial motions over sanctions, counsel access, and evidence. Trader consensus shows a fragmented field because outcomes hinge on whether prosecutors secure a conviction carrying mandatory minimums or decades-long guidelines, a plea agreement caps exposure, charges are dismissed on immunity or procedural grounds, or the case resolves without incarceration. Upcoming status hearings and any plea developments could shift probabilities among the leading buckets.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$566,990结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at MDC Brooklyn awaiting trial on 2020 narco-terrorism and cocaine importation conspiracy charges that were expanded by superseding indictment after his January 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and co-defendants have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings continuing into mid-2026 amid a second parallel investigation and pretrial motions over sanctions, counsel access, and evidence. Trader consensus shows a fragmented field because outcomes hinge on whether prosecutors secure a conviction carrying mandatory minimums or decades-long guidelines, a plea agreement caps exposure, charges are dismissed on immunity or procedural grounds, or the case resolves without incarceration. Upcoming status hearings and any plea developments could shift probabilities among the leading buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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