Google’s accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash reaching general availability on August 13 and internal 3.8 Flash Preview testing underway by August 27, drives the market’s tight clustering around early September dates. Traders weigh Google’s stated goal of near-monthly updates, competitive pressure in the low-cost agentic and coding tier, and the absence of any public announcement or changelog entry as of September 1. While the rapid internal iteration and historical gaps of two to three weeks support elevated probabilities for a release on or before September 8, uncertainty around final validation, pricing confirmation, and potential delays keeps later September and “no release by the 15th” outcomes viable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于On or prior to September 1 39%
September 2 27%
September 3 17%
September 4 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
On or prior to September 1
26%
September 2
27%
September 3
17%
September 4
12%
September 5
8%
September 6
5%
9月7日
5%
9月8日
25%
9月9日
23%
9月10日
8%
9月11日
7%
9 月 12 日
5%
9月13日
3%
9月14日
7%
9 月 15 日
6%
截至9月15日没有发布
7%
On or prior to September 1 39%
September 2 27%
September 3 17%
September 4 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
On or prior to September 1
$145 交易量
26%
September 2
$39 交易量
27%
September 3
$39 交易量
17%
September 4
$51 交易量
12%
September 5
$457 交易量
8%
September 6
$457 交易量
5%
9月7日
$39 交易量
5%
9月8日
$51 交易量
25%
9月9日
$51 交易量
23%
9月10日
$39 交易量
8%
9月11日
$50 交易量
7%
9 月 12 日
$47 交易量
5%
9月13日
$117 交易量
3%
9月14日
$39 交易量
7%
9 月 15 日
$47 交易量
6%
截至9月15日没有发布
$61 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash reaching general availability on August 13 and internal 3.8 Flash Preview testing underway by August 27, drives the market’s tight clustering around early September dates. Traders weigh Google’s stated goal of near-monthly updates, competitive pressure in the low-cost agentic and coding tier, and the absence of any public announcement or changelog entry as of September 1. While the rapid internal iteration and historical gaps of two to three weeks support elevated probabilities for a release on or before September 8, uncertainty around final validation, pricing confirmation, and potential delays keeps later September and “no release by the 15th” outcomes viable.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
交易量
$1,728结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash reaching general availability on August 13 and internal 3.8 Flash Preview testing underway by August 27, drives the market’s tight clustering around early September dates. Traders weigh Google’s stated goal of near-monthly updates, competitive pressure in the low-cost agentic and coding tier, and the absence of any public announcement or changelog entry as of September 1. While the rapid internal iteration and historical gaps of two to three weeks support elevated probabilities for a release on or before September 8, uncertainty around final validation, pricing confirmation, and potential delays keeps later September and “no release by the 15th” outcomes viable.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,728结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 4:09 PM ETGoogle’s accelerated Flash release cadence, with 3.7 Flash reaching general availability on August 13 and internal 3.8 Flash Preview testing underway by August 27, drives the market’s tight clustering around early September dates. Traders weigh Google’s stated goal of near-monthly updates, competitive pressure in the low-cost agentic and coding tier, and the absence of any public announcement or changelog entry as of September 1. While the rapid internal iteration and historical gaps of two to three weeks support elevated probabilities for a release on or before September 8, uncertainty around final validation, pricing confirmation, and potential delays keeps later September and “no release by the 15th” outcomes viable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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