Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model continue to shape trader sentiment, with the large language model originally promised for June 2026 at I/O now stalled past July targets amid internal tweaks for coding and long-horizon agentic performance. Recent releases of faster Gemini 3.x Flash variants, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, have filled the gap while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing. Alphabet executives have confirmed training is underway on the more ambitious Gemini 4, yet the current Pro tier stays anchored at the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 release. Key near-term catalysts include potential general availability windows in September or October alongside ongoing competitive pressure from rival labs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,176,597 交易量
2026-09-30
8 月 31 日
2%
September 15
8%
September 30
12%
October 31
73%
$1,176,597 交易量
8 月 31 日
$333,633 交易量
2%
September 15
$5,771 交易量
8%
September 30
$23,753 交易量
12%
October 31
$4,548 交易量
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model continue to shape trader sentiment, with the large language model originally promised for June 2026 at I/O now stalled past July targets amid internal tweaks for coding and long-horizon agentic performance. Recent releases of faster Gemini 3.x Flash variants, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, have filled the gap while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing. Alphabet executives have confirmed training is underway on the more ambitious Gemini 4, yet the current Pro tier stays anchored at the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 release. Key near-term catalysts include potential general availability windows in September or October alongside ongoing competitive pressure from rival labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,176,597结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model continue to shape trader sentiment, with the large language model originally promised for June 2026 at I/O now stalled past July targets amid internal tweaks for coding and long-horizon agentic performance. Recent releases of faster Gemini 3.x Flash variants, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, have filled the gap while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing. Alphabet executives have confirmed training is underway on the more ambitious Gemini 4, yet the current Pro tier stays anchored at the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 release. Key near-term catalysts include potential general availability windows in September or October alongside ongoing competitive pressure from rival labs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,176,597结束日期
2026-11-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETGoogle's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro frontier model continue to shape trader sentiment, with the large language model originally promised for June 2026 at I/O now stalled past July targets amid internal tweaks for coding and long-horizon agentic performance. Recent releases of faster Gemini 3.x Flash variants, including 3.7 Flash in mid-August, have filled the gap while 3.5 Pro remains in limited partner testing. Alphabet executives have confirmed training is underway on the more ambitious Gemini 4, yet the current Pro tier stays anchored at the February 2026 Gemini 3.1 release. Key near-term catalysts include potential general availability windows in September or October alongside ongoing competitive pressure from rival labs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题