Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Google 87%
OpenAI 8.1%
Anthropic 5.4%
Moonshot 2.0%
$61,074 交易量
$61,074 交易量
2026-09-30
87%
OpenAI
8%
Anthropic
5%
Moonshot
2%
Meta
2%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 87%
OpenAI 8.1%
Anthropic 5.4%
Moonshot 2.0%
$61,074 交易量
$61,074 交易量
2026-09-30
$20,386 交易量
87%
OpenAI
$6,978 交易量
8%
Anthropic
$7,789 交易量
5%
Moonshot
$1,803 交易量
2%
Meta
$1,620 交易量
2%
Alibaba
$5,827 交易量
2%
Z.ai
$1,741 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,317 交易量
1%
Baidu
$1,368 交易量
<1%
ByteDance
$1,472 交易量
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,689 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,262 交易量
<1%
Tencent
$1,292 交易量
<1%
Nvidia
$766 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$951 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$566 交易量
<1%
Microsoft
$910 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$61,074结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$61,074结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETGoogle's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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