Google's Gemini models hold a clear edge for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard heading into late September, with several variants posting Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude family entries. Current arena data shows Google's flash and pro models clustered in the top tier for math-specific human-preference voting, outpacing OpenAI's GPT series and other labs by meaningful margins in recent snapshots. With only two weeks left before month-end resolution and no major new model releases announced that could close gaps in chain-of-thought or competition-math performance, traders see limited scope for shifts. Anthropic's dominance at the top reinforces the positioning, while lower odds on Meta, Alibaba, and Chinese labs reflect their more distant current rankings and slower iteration pace in this narrow domain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Google 77%
Anthropic 9.7%
OpenAI 8.6%
Meta 4.8%
$59,282 交易量
$59,282 交易量
2026-09-30
77%
Anthropic
10%
OpenAI
9%
Meta
5%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
1%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 77%
Anthropic 9.7%
OpenAI 8.6%
Meta 4.8%
$59,282 交易量
$59,282 交易量
2026-09-30
$19,076 交易量
77%
Anthropic
$7,704 交易量
10%
OpenAI
$6,968 交易量
9%
Meta
$1,547 交易量
5%
Moonshot
$1,764 交易量
2%
Z.ai
$1,717 交易量
1%
Alibaba
$5,780 交易量
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,255 交易量
1%
Baidu
$1,349 交易量
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,236 交易量
<1%
ByteDance
$1,472 交易量
<1%
Tencent
$1,227 交易量
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,658 交易量
<1%
Nvidia
$766 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 交易量
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 交易量
<1%
Amazon
$951 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 交易量
<1%
StepFun
$566 交易量
<1%
Microsoft
$910 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a clear edge for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard heading into late September, with several variants posting Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude family entries. Current arena data shows Google's flash and pro models clustered in the top tier for math-specific human-preference voting, outpacing OpenAI's GPT series and other labs by meaningful margins in recent snapshots. With only two weeks left before month-end resolution and no major new model releases announced that could close gaps in chain-of-thought or competition-math performance, traders see limited scope for shifts. Anthropic's dominance at the top reinforces the positioning, while lower odds on Meta, Alibaba, and Chinese labs reflect their more distant current rankings and slower iteration pace in this narrow domain.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$59,282结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a clear edge for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard heading into late September, with several variants posting Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude family entries. Current arena data shows Google's flash and pro models clustered in the top tier for math-specific human-preference voting, outpacing OpenAI's GPT series and other labs by meaningful margins in recent snapshots. With only two weeks left before month-end resolution and no major new model releases announced that could close gaps in chain-of-thought or competition-math performance, traders see limited scope for shifts. Anthropic's dominance at the top reinforces the positioning, while lower odds on Meta, Alibaba, and Chinese labs reflect their more distant current rankings and slower iteration pace in this narrow domain.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$59,282结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETGoogle's Gemini models hold a clear edge for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard heading into late September, with several variants posting Elo scores just behind Anthropic's leading Claude family entries. Current arena data shows Google's flash and pro models clustered in the top tier for math-specific human-preference voting, outpacing OpenAI's GPT series and other labs by meaningful margins in recent snapshots. With only two weeks left before month-end resolution and no major new model releases announced that could close gaps in chain-of-thought or competition-math performance, traders see limited scope for shifts. Anthropic's dominance at the top reinforces the positioning, while lower odds on Meta, Alibaba, and Chinese labs reflect their more distant current rankings and slower iteration pace in this narrow domain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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