Labour's recent poor local election results have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting Health Secretary Wes Streeting's resignation and a push for leadership change ahead of the autumn conference. Andy Burnham's strong showing in internal polls and allies' efforts to secure his return to Parliament via the Makerfield by-election have positioned him as the frontrunner among traders, reflecting his established regional base and devolution record. Other Labour figures including Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner remain in contention following her clearance on tax matters, while the "no change" outcome captures uncertainty over Starmer's resilience and the timeline for any contest. Upcoming by-election results and potential parliamentary maneuvers could further shift these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安迪·伯纳姆 56.7%
2026年没有下任首相 12%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,283,384 交易量
$7,283,384 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
57%
2026年没有下任首相
12%
韦斯·斯特里廷
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
埃德·米利班德
7%
Al Carns
3%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
安迪·伯纳姆 56.7%
2026年没有下任首相 12%
韦斯·斯特里廷 10%
安吉拉·雷纳 10%
$7,283,384 交易量
$7,283,384 交易量
安迪·伯纳姆
57%
2026年没有下任首相
12%
韦斯·斯特里廷
10%
安吉拉·雷纳
10%
埃德·米利班德
7%
Al Carns
3%
奈杰尔·法拉奇
1%
伊薇特·库珀
1%
沙巴娜·马哈茂德
1%
露西·鲍威尔
<1%
鲁珀特·洛伊
<1%
雷切尔·里夫斯
<1%
凯米·巴德诺克
<1%
鲍里斯·约翰逊
<1%
埃德·戴维
<1%
布里奇特·菲利普森
<1%
罗伯特·詹里克
<1%
大卫·拉米
<1%
詹姆斯·克莱弗利
<1%
达伦·琼斯
<1%
约翰·希利
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 5, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Labour's recent poor local election results have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting Health Secretary Wes Streeting's resignation and a push for leadership change ahead of the autumn conference. Andy Burnham's strong showing in internal polls and allies' efforts to secure his return to Parliament via the Makerfield by-election have positioned him as the frontrunner among traders, reflecting his established regional base and devolution record. Other Labour figures including Wes Streeting and Angela Rayner remain in contention following her clearance on tax matters, while the "no change" outcome captures uncertainty over Starmer's resilience and the timeline for any contest. Upcoming by-election results and potential parliamentary maneuvers could further shift these implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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