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icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?

纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?

icon for 纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?

纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$17,487 交易量

20-39 100.0%

<20 <1%

40-59 <1%

60-79 <1%

Polymarket

$17,487 交易量

<20

$1,763 交易量

20-39

$7,024 交易量

40-59

$3,132 交易量

60-79

$1,219 交易量

80-99

$610 交易量

100-119

$610 交易量

120-139

$610 交易量

140-159

$610 交易量

160-179

$610 交易量

180-199

$655 交易量

200+

$645 交易量

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s official X account (@NYCMayor) has maintained a steady cadence of announcements, event recaps, and policy updates since taking office in January 2026. Multiple press conferences on immigration, school procurement reforms, 2-K program launches, 9/11 commemorations, and community events during the September 8–15 window align with the account’s established weekly rhythm of routine posts plus targeted engagement. This pattern has produced output squarely in the 20–39 range across comparable periods, reflecting consistent institutional communications rather than reactive surges. A major breaking crisis, shift in strategy toward other platforms, or extended quiet period could alter totals, though no such deviation has materialized in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$17,487
结束日期
2026-09-15
市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani’s official X account (@NYCMayor) has maintained a steady cadence of announcements, event recaps, and policy updates since taking office in January 2026. Multiple press conferences on immigration, school procurement reforms, 2-K program launches, 9/11 commemorations, and community events during the September 8–15 window align with the account’s established weekly rhythm of routine posts plus targeted engagement. This pattern has produced output squarely in the 20–39 range across comparable periods, reflecting consistent institutional communications rather than reactive surges. A major breaking crisis, shift in strategy toward other platforms, or extended quiet period could alter totals, though no such deviation has materialized in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$17,487
结束日期
2026-09-15
市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"20-39",概率为 100%,其次是"<20",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?"已产生 $17.5K 的总交易量(自Sep 5, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?"的当前领先者是"20-39",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<20",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纽约市长#职位2026年9月8日至9月15日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。