Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from Khamenei-linked X accounts during September 22–29, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low and inconsistent output since the 2026 leadership transition. Activity typically consists of occasional reposts of historical statements or limited media content rather than frequent original updates, with no major scheduled diplomatic, military, or domestic announcements aligned to the resolution window. Regional tensions or official Iranian statements on foreign policy have not produced sustained posting surges in recent comparable periods. A sudden escalation involving Iran, a high-profile address, or verified new directives from the current leadership could increase volume and shift probabilities, though such catalysts remain outside the immediate outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts 2026年9月22日- 9月29日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年9月22日- 9月29日？
少于5条 94%
45-49 3.6%
40-44 3.6%
5-9 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-29
少于5条
94%
5-9
4%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
4%
45-49
4%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
少于5条 94%
45-49 3.6%
40-44 3.6%
5-9 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-29
少于5条
$183 交易量
94%
5-9
$0 交易量
4%
10-14
$25 交易量
1%
15-19
$31 交易量
1%
20-24
$31 交易量
1%
25-29
$31 交易量
1%
30-34
$11 交易量
2%
35-39
$31 交易量
1%
40-44
$5 交易量
4%
45-49
$5 交易量
4%
50-54
$20 交易量
1%
55-59
$20 交易量
1%
60+
$100 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from Khamenei-linked X accounts during September 22–29, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low and inconsistent output since the 2026 leadership transition. Activity typically consists of occasional reposts of historical statements or limited media content rather than frequent original updates, with no major scheduled diplomatic, military, or domestic announcements aligned to the resolution window. Regional tensions or official Iranian statements on foreign policy have not produced sustained posting surges in recent comparable periods. A sudden escalation involving Iran, a high-profile address, or verified new directives from the current leadership could increase volume and shift probabilities, though such catalysts remain outside the immediate outlook.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$493结束日期
2026-09-29市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from Khamenei-linked X accounts during September 22–29, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low and inconsistent output since the 2026 leadership transition. Activity typically consists of occasional reposts of historical statements or limited media content rather than frequent original updates, with no major scheduled diplomatic, military, or domestic announcements aligned to the resolution window. Regional tensions or official Iranian statements on foreign policy have not produced sustained posting surges in recent comparable periods. A sudden escalation involving Iran, a high-profile address, or verified new directives from the current leadership could increase volume and shift probabilities, though such catalysts remain outside the immediate outlook.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$493结束日期
2026-09-29市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts from Khamenei-linked X accounts during September 22–29, reflecting the accounts' established pattern of low and inconsistent output since the 2026 leadership transition. Activity typically consists of occasional reposts of historical statements or limited media content rather than frequent original updates, with no major scheduled diplomatic, military, or domestic announcements aligned to the resolution window. Regional tensions or official Iranian statements on foreign policy have not produced sustained posting surges in recent comparable periods. A sudden escalation involving Iran, a high-profile address, or verified new directives from the current leadership could increase volume and shift probabilities, though such catalysts remain outside the immediate outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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