Early 2027 Best Actor odds reflect strong trader consensus around Matt Damon in The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Digger as the closest frontrunners, driven by high-profile trailers, established industry narratives, and their respective films' awards positioning. Damon benefits from career-best reviews and a prestige Universal epic, while Cruise's villainous turn in the Alejandro G. Iñárritu project taps into overdue-Oscar sentiment. Closely matched at roughly 26–37% implied probability, the race hinges on upcoming festival premieres, guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA, and box-office performance, with Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary providing viable alternatives if momentum shifts. Historical patterns favor late surges from star vehicles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2027年奥斯卡：最佳男主角
2027年奥斯卡：最佳男主角
马特·达蒙 29%
汤姆·克鲁斯 27%
安德鲁·斯科特 18%
约翰·马尔科维奇 9%
$43,229 交易量
$43,229 交易量
2027-03-14
马特·达蒙
29%
汤姆·克鲁斯
27%
安德鲁·斯科特
18%
约翰·马尔科维奇
9%
布拉德·皮特
8%
罗伯特·阿拉马约
5%
瑞恩·高斯林
4%
乔什·奥康纳
4%
杰瑞米·斯特朗
4%
塞巴斯蒂安·斯坦
4%
佩德罗·帕斯卡
3%
哈维尔·巴登
3%
萨姆·洛克威尔
3%
提莫西·查拉梅
2%
约翰·特托罗
2%
贾法尔·杰克逊
1%
亚当·德赖弗
1%
马特·达蒙 29%
汤姆·克鲁斯 27%
安德鲁·斯科特 18%
约翰·马尔科维奇 9%
$43,229 交易量
$43,229 交易量
2027-03-14
马特·达蒙
$22,908 交易量
29%
汤姆·克鲁斯
$3,948 交易量
27%
安德鲁·斯科特
$4,883 交易量
18%
约翰·马尔科维奇
$800 交易量
9%
布拉德·皮特
$1,232 交易量
8%
罗伯特·阿拉马约
$682 交易量
5%
瑞恩·高斯林
$2,331 交易量
4%
乔什·奥康纳
$679 交易量
4%
杰瑞米·斯特朗
$683 交易量
4%
塞巴斯蒂安·斯坦
$569 交易量
4%
佩德罗·帕斯卡
$662 交易量
3%
哈维尔·巴登
$536 交易量
3%
萨姆·洛克威尔
$637 交易量
3%
提莫西·查拉梅
$842 交易量
2%
约翰·特托罗
$562 交易量
2%
贾法尔·杰克逊
$738 交易量
1%
亚当·德赖弗
$536 交易量
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early 2027 Best Actor odds reflect strong trader consensus around Matt Damon in The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Digger as the closest frontrunners, driven by high-profile trailers, established industry narratives, and their respective films' awards positioning. Damon benefits from career-best reviews and a prestige Universal epic, while Cruise's villainous turn in the Alejandro G. Iñárritu project taps into overdue-Oscar sentiment. Closely matched at roughly 26–37% implied probability, the race hinges on upcoming festival premieres, guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA, and box-office performance, with Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary providing viable alternatives if momentum shifts. Historical patterns favor late surges from star vehicles.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
交易量
$43,229结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early 2027 Best Actor odds reflect strong trader consensus around Matt Damon in The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Digger as the closest frontrunners, driven by high-profile trailers, established industry narratives, and their respective films' awards positioning. Damon benefits from career-best reviews and a prestige Universal epic, while Cruise's villainous turn in the Alejandro G. Iñárritu project taps into overdue-Oscar sentiment. Closely matched at roughly 26–37% implied probability, the race hinges on upcoming festival premieres, guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA, and box-office performance, with Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary providing viable alternatives if momentum shifts. Historical patterns favor late surges from star vehicles.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$43,229结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early 2027 Best Actor odds reflect strong trader consensus around Matt Damon in The Odyssey and Tom Cruise in Digger as the closest frontrunners, driven by high-profile trailers, established industry narratives, and their respective films' awards positioning. Damon benefits from career-best reviews and a prestige Universal epic, while Cruise's villainous turn in the Alejandro G. Iñárritu project taps into overdue-Oscar sentiment. Closely matched at roughly 26–37% implied probability, the race hinges on upcoming festival premieres, guild precursors like SAG-AFTRA, and box-office performance, with Andrew Scott, John Malkovich, and Ryan Gosling in Project Hail Mary providing viable alternatives if momentum shifts. Historical patterns favor late surges from star vehicles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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