The People’s Bank of China’s decision to hold benchmark loan prime rates steady for an eleventh consecutive month in April, with the one-year LPR fixed at 3.0 percent and the five-year at 3.5 percent, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds against any rate adjustment in May. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth and a sharp rebound in April producer prices, which rose 2.8 percent year-over-year to a 45-month high, have eased pressure for additional easing despite the central bank’s stated “moderately loose” policy stance. Traders are pricing in continuity because targeted liquidity measures and reserve requirement adjustments remain the preferred tools while oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions clouds the near-term outlook. A pronounced weakening in upcoming data releases or an unexpected escalation in global risks that prompts fresh fiscal stimulus could still shift expectations, though current momentum points to stability through the May 19–20 announcement window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No Change 98.0%
Decrease 3.0%
Increase <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Increase
<1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
3%
No Change 98.0%
Decrease 3.0%
Increase <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Increase
$1,458 交易量
<1%
No Change
$2,000 交易量
98%
Decrease
$1,035 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People’s Bank of China’s decision to hold benchmark loan prime rates steady for an eleventh consecutive month in April, with the one-year LPR fixed at 3.0 percent and the five-year at 3.5 percent, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds against any rate adjustment in May. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth and a sharp rebound in April producer prices, which rose 2.8 percent year-over-year to a 45-month high, have eased pressure for additional easing despite the central bank’s stated “moderately loose” policy stance. Traders are pricing in continuity because targeted liquidity measures and reserve requirement adjustments remain the preferred tools while oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions clouds the near-term outlook. A pronounced weakening in upcoming data releases or an unexpected escalation in global risks that prompts fresh fiscal stimulus could still shift expectations, though current momentum points to stability through the May 19–20 announcement window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$4,494结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People’s Bank of China’s decision to hold benchmark loan prime rates steady for an eleventh consecutive month in April, with the one-year LPR fixed at 3.0 percent and the five-year at 3.5 percent, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds against any rate adjustment in May. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth and a sharp rebound in April producer prices, which rose 2.8 percent year-over-year to a 45-month high, have eased pressure for additional easing despite the central bank’s stated “moderately loose” policy stance. Traders are pricing in continuity because targeted liquidity measures and reserve requirement adjustments remain the preferred tools while oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions clouds the near-term outlook. A pronounced weakening in upcoming data releases or an unexpected escalation in global risks that prompts fresh fiscal stimulus could still shift expectations, though current momentum points to stability through the May 19–20 announcement window.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$4,494结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People’s Bank of China’s decision to hold benchmark loan prime rates steady for an eleventh consecutive month in April, with the one-year LPR fixed at 3.0 percent and the five-year at 3.5 percent, underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds against any rate adjustment in May. Resilient first-quarter GDP growth and a sharp rebound in April producer prices, which rose 2.8 percent year-over-year to a 45-month high, have eased pressure for additional easing despite the central bank’s stated “moderately loose” policy stance. Traders are pricing in continuity because targeted liquidity measures and reserve requirement adjustments remain the preferred tools while oil-price volatility from Middle East tensions clouds the near-term outlook. A pronounced weakening in upcoming data releases or an unexpected escalation in global risks that prompts fresh fiscal stimulus could still shift expectations, though current momentum points to stability through the May 19–20 announcement window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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