Traders have priced in a 98.5% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China’s 7-day reverse repo rate during May 2026, reflecting the central bank’s recent pattern of holding benchmark lending rates steady amid resilient growth. The PBOC maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% in April for an eleventh consecutive month, supported by Q1 2026 GDP expansion of 5% and a stated commitment to moderately loose monetary policy through calibrated liquidity tools. With inflation contained and external risks from Middle East tensions limiting stimulus urgency, market-implied odds align with analyst expectations of a hold. A surprise easing or hike would require sharp deterioration in activity data or abrupt policy reversal ahead of the May 19 decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No Change 98.3%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Increase
<1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
1%
No Change 98.3%
Decrease <1%
Increase <1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
Increase
$2,006 交易量
<1%
No Change
$2,024 交易量
98%
Decrease
$1,711 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders have priced in a 98.5% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China’s 7-day reverse repo rate during May 2026, reflecting the central bank’s recent pattern of holding benchmark lending rates steady amid resilient growth. The PBOC maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% in April for an eleventh consecutive month, supported by Q1 2026 GDP expansion of 5% and a stated commitment to moderately loose monetary policy through calibrated liquidity tools. With inflation contained and external risks from Middle East tensions limiting stimulus urgency, market-implied odds align with analyst expectations of a hold. A surprise easing or hike would require sharp deterioration in activity data or abrupt policy reversal ahead of the May 19 decision.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$5,741结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders have priced in a 98.5% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China’s 7-day reverse repo rate during May 2026, reflecting the central bank’s recent pattern of holding benchmark lending rates steady amid resilient growth. The PBOC maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% in April for an eleventh consecutive month, supported by Q1 2026 GDP expansion of 5% and a stated commitment to moderately loose monetary policy through calibrated liquidity tools. With inflation contained and external risks from Middle East tensions limiting stimulus urgency, market-implied odds align with analyst expectations of a hold. A surprise easing or hike would require sharp deterioration in activity data or abrupt policy reversal ahead of the May 19 decision.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
交易量
$5,741结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced in a 98.5% implied probability of no change to the People's Bank of China’s 7-day reverse repo rate during May 2026, reflecting the central bank’s recent pattern of holding benchmark lending rates steady amid resilient growth. The PBOC maintained its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% in April for an eleventh consecutive month, supported by Q1 2026 GDP expansion of 5% and a stated commitment to moderately loose monetary policy through calibrated liquidity tools. With inflation contained and external risks from Middle East tensions limiting stimulus urgency, market-implied odds align with analyst expectations of a hold. A surprise easing or hike would require sharp deterioration in activity data or abrupt policy reversal ahead of the May 19 decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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