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icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

2% 概率
Polymarket
最新
2% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego continues to fulfill his duties as Arizona’s junior senator with no verified developments indicating an imminent departure before the end of May. An April ethics complaint referral tied to his past association with former representative Eric Swalwell has not produced committee findings, Senate action, or public pressure sufficient to force resignation or expulsion. Gallego remains actively engaged in legislative priorities, including recent committee advancement of cryptocurrency regulation measures. Traders assign a 98 percent probability he will stay in office through the deadline because Senate terms run until 2031 and removal requires either voluntary resignation, death, or a supermajority expulsion vote that faces high procedural hurdles. Only a sudden health crisis or explosive new evidence from the ethics process could realistically alter that outlook within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,649
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego continues to fulfill his duties as Arizona’s junior senator with no verified developments indicating an imminent departure before the end of May. An April ethics complaint referral tied to his past association with former representative Eric Swalwell has not produced committee findings, Senate action, or public pressure sufficient to force resignation or expulsion. Gallego remains actively engaged in legislative priorities, including recent committee advancement of cryptocurrency regulation measures. Traders assign a 98 percent probability he will stay in office through the deadline because Senate terms run until 2031 and removal requires either voluntary resignation, death, or a supermajority expulsion vote that faces high procedural hurdles. Only a sudden health crisis or explosive new evidence from the ethics process could realistically alter that outlook within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,649
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 2%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 2¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 2%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?"的当前概率为 2%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 2%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。