The election held on 6 September 2026 produced clear results showing the SPD ahead of the BSW in the statewide party-list vote, with the SPD securing roughly 9.3 percent and the BSW 5.3 percent. This outcome aligned with pre-election polling trends throughout the summer that placed the SPD several points ahead, while the newer BSW hovered near or below the five-percent threshold in multiple surveys. Incumbency advantages for the SPD, established voter bases in key districts, and higher overall turnout further reinforced the margin. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified tallies and the limited scope for post-election adjustments. Only an unusually large official recount or certification dispute could still alter the relative ordering, though the gap makes such a shift improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于社民党
>99% 概率
$2,983 交易量
$2,983 交易量
2026-09-06
社民党
>99% 概率
$2,983 交易量
$2,983 交易量
2026-09-06
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The election held on 6 September 2026 produced clear results showing the SPD ahead of the BSW in the statewide party-list vote, with the SPD securing roughly 9.3 percent and the BSW 5.3 percent. This outcome aligned with pre-election polling trends throughout the summer that placed the SPD several points ahead, while the newer BSW hovered near or below the five-percent threshold in multiple surveys. Incumbency advantages for the SPD, established voter bases in key districts, and higher overall turnout further reinforced the margin. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified tallies and the limited scope for post-election adjustments. Only an unusually large official recount or certification dispute could still alter the relative ordering, though the gap makes such a shift improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
交易量
$2,983结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ET已提议结果: 社民党
无争议
最终结果: 社民党
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The election held on 6 September 2026 produced clear results showing the SPD ahead of the BSW in the statewide party-list vote, with the SPD securing roughly 9.3 percent and the BSW 5.3 percent. This outcome aligned with pre-election polling trends throughout the summer that placed the SPD several points ahead, while the newer BSW hovered near or below the five-percent threshold in multiple surveys. Incumbency advantages for the SPD, established voter bases in key districts, and higher overall turnout further reinforced the margin. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified tallies and the limited scope for post-election adjustments. Only an unusually large official recount or certification dispute could still alter the relative ordering, though the gap makes such a shift improbable.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than BSW in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “BSW” if BSW wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both SPD and BSW receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
Valid second votes will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
交易量
$2,983结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:22 PM ET已提议结果: 社民党
无争议
最终结果: 社民党
The election held on 6 September 2026 produced clear results showing the SPD ahead of the BSW in the statewide party-list vote, with the SPD securing roughly 9.3 percent and the BSW 5.3 percent. This outcome aligned with pre-election polling trends throughout the summer that placed the SPD several points ahead, while the newer BSW hovered near or below the five-percent threshold in multiple surveys. Incumbency advantages for the SPD, established voter bases in key districts, and higher overall turnout further reinforced the margin. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects these verified tallies and the limited scope for post-election adjustments. Only an unusually large official recount or certification dispute could still alter the relative ordering, though the gap makes such a shift improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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