Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central United States, driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation through early September, forms the main driver of current US Drought Monitor assessments. The weekly USDM, produced jointly by the National Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA, USDA, and NASA, integrates precipitation deficits, soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation indices to delineate D4 exceptional drought, the most severe category on the five-level scale. As of the September 8 map, D4 covered roughly 1.5 percent of the contiguous United States, concentrated in limited southern and Plains areas amid broader D1–D3 expansion. The next release, incorporating data through mid-September, will determine state-level D4 presence for the target week, with short-term outlooks favoring above-normal precipitation over the Four Corners potentially easing conditions while drier trends persist elsewhere.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于各州异常干旱( D4 ) — 2026年9月15日当周

阿拉巴马
3%

亚利桑那州
6%

阿肯色州
93%

加利福尼亚
5%

科罗拉多
63%

特拉华州
<1%

佛罗里达
38%

佐治亚州
5%

爱达荷州
63%

伊利诺伊州
5%

印第安纳州
5%

艾奥瓦州
3%

堪萨斯州
7%

肯塔基州
3%

路易斯安那州
5%

马里兰州
3%

明尼苏达
38%

密西西比州
82%

密苏里州
7%

蒙大拿州
7%

内布拉斯加州
64%

内华达
94%

新泽西州
3%

新墨西哥
94%

北卡罗来州
94%

北达科他州
39%

俄亥俄州
3%

俄克拉荷马州
80%

俄勒冈
99%

宾夕法尼亚州
19%

南卡罗来纳州
38%

南达科他州
38%

田纳西州
2%

德克萨斯州
89%

犹他州
63%

弗吉尼亚
38%

华盛顿
5%

西弗吉尼亚州
19%

威斯康星州
19%

怀俄明州
38%
$6,762 交易量

阿拉巴马
3%

亚利桑那州
6%

阿肯色州
93%

加利福尼亚
5%

科罗拉多
63%

特拉华州
<1%

佛罗里达
38%

佐治亚州
5%

爱达荷州
63%

伊利诺伊州
5%

印第安纳州
5%

艾奥瓦州
3%

堪萨斯州
7%

肯塔基州
3%

路易斯安那州
5%

马里兰州
3%

明尼苏达
38%

密西西比州
82%

密苏里州
7%

蒙大拿州
7%

内布拉斯加州
64%

内华达
94%

新泽西州
3%

新墨西哥
94%

北卡罗来州
94%

北达科他州
39%

俄亥俄州
3%

俄克拉荷马州
80%

俄勒冈
99%

宾夕法尼亚州
19%

南卡罗来纳州
38%

南达科他州
38%

田纳西州
2%

德克萨斯州
89%

犹他州
63%

弗吉尼亚
38%

华盛顿
5%

西弗吉尼亚州
19%

威斯康星州
19%

怀俄明州
38%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
市场开放时间: Sep 10, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Colorado carries a market in every month of the year, so this market exists for the week valid September 15, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Colorado market and make no claim about Colorado's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central United States, driven by persistent above-normal temperatures and below-average precipitation through early September, forms the main driver of current US Drought Monitor assessments. The weekly USDM, produced jointly by the National Drought Mitigation Center, NOAA, USDA, and NASA, integrates precipitation deficits, soil moisture, streamflow, and vegetation indices to delineate D4 exceptional drought, the most severe category on the five-level scale. As of the September 8 map, D4 covered roughly 1.5 percent of the contiguous United States, concentrated in limited southern and Plains areas amid broader D1–D3 expansion. The next release, incorporating data through mid-September, will determine state-level D4 presence for the target week, with short-term outlooks favoring above-normal precipitation over the Four Corners potentially easing conditions while drier trends persist elsewhere.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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