Recent U.S.-China trade talks have centered on incremental steps through the U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment established after the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, including confirmed agricultural purchase commitments and in-principle understandings for limited reciprocal tariff reductions on select goods. These build on the November 2025 truce framework that suspended or reduced certain reciprocal and fentanyl-related tariffs through November 2026 while extending exclusion processes. Working-level discussions continue on non-sensitive goods, critical minerals, and non-tariff barriers, yet structural differences over enforcement, scope, and sequencing persist without signs of a comprehensive new agreement materializing before the end of August. Trader consensus at 84% for no resolution by August 31 aligns with this managed, phased approach rather than rapid breakthrough on broader tariff terms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-08-31
最新
最新
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks have centered on incremental steps through the U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment established after the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, including confirmed agricultural purchase commitments and in-principle understandings for limited reciprocal tariff reductions on select goods. These build on the November 2025 truce framework that suspended or reduced certain reciprocal and fentanyl-related tariffs through November 2026 while extending exclusion processes. Working-level discussions continue on non-sensitive goods, critical minerals, and non-tariff barriers, yet structural differences over enforcement, scope, and sequencing persist without signs of a comprehensive new agreement materializing before the end of August. Trader consensus at 84% for no resolution by August 31 aligns with this managed, phased approach rather than rapid breakthrough on broader tariff terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks have centered on incremental steps through the U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment established after the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, including confirmed agricultural purchase commitments and in-principle understandings for limited reciprocal tariff reductions on select goods. These build on the November 2025 truce framework that suspended or reduced certain reciprocal and fentanyl-related tariffs through November 2026 while extending exclusion processes. Working-level discussions continue on non-sensitive goods, critical minerals, and non-tariff barriers, yet structural differences over enforcement, scope, and sequencing persist without signs of a comprehensive new agreement materializing before the end of August. Trader consensus at 84% for no resolution by August 31 aligns with this managed, phased approach rather than rapid breakthrough on broader tariff terms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China trade talks have centered on incremental steps through the U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment established after the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit, including confirmed agricultural purchase commitments and in-principle understandings for limited reciprocal tariff reductions on select goods. These build on the November 2025 truce framework that suspended or reduced certain reciprocal and fentanyl-related tariffs through November 2026 while extending exclusion processes. Working-level discussions continue on non-sensitive goods, critical minerals, and non-tariff barriers, yet structural differences over enforcement, scope, and sequencing persist without signs of a comprehensive new agreement materializing before the end of August. Trader consensus at 84% for no resolution by August 31 aligns with this managed, phased approach rather than rapid breakthrough on broader tariff terms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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