Recent Zillow data pegs Chicago's average home value at $324,183 through April 2026, reflecting a modest 3.1% year-over-year gain amid persistently low inventory and mixed sales trends. This positioning drives the dominant market-implied odds for a May 31 median below $344,000, as tight supply has supported steady but not aggressive appreciation rather than sharp upward moves. Seasonal demand patterns and elevated mortgage rates continue to temper buyer activity, keeping price momentum aligned with historical base rates of 3-5% annual growth. With resolution just weeks away, any near-term shifts in inventory or interest-rate expectations could influence final settlement, though current fundamentals point to limited volatility in the immediate term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
<344k 76%
345 - 347k 12%
351 - 353k 9%
344 - 345k 9%
<344k
76%
344 - 345k
9%
345 - 347k
12%
347 - 348k
6%
348 - 349k
6%
349 - 351k
6%
351 - 353k
9%
>353k
6%
<344k 76%
345 - 347k 12%
351 - 353k 9%
344 - 345k 9%
<344k
76%
344 - 345k
9%
345 - 347k
12%
347 - 348k
6%
348 - 349k
6%
349 - 351k
6%
351 - 353k
9%
>353k
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
市场开放时间: May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow data pegs Chicago's average home value at $324,183 through April 2026, reflecting a modest 3.1% year-over-year gain amid persistently low inventory and mixed sales trends. This positioning drives the dominant market-implied odds for a May 31 median below $344,000, as tight supply has supported steady but not aggressive appreciation rather than sharp upward moves. Seasonal demand patterns and elevated mortgage rates continue to temper buyer activity, keeping price momentum aligned with historical base rates of 3-5% annual growth. With resolution just weeks away, any near-term shifts in inventory or interest-rate expectations could influence final settlement, though current fundamentals point to limited volatility in the immediate term.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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