Recent Zillow data place Chicago’s typical home value at approximately $324,183 as of late April 2026, reflecting a modest 3.1 percent year-over-year increase amid persistently tight inventory and mixed sales volumes. This trajectory, coupled with limited seasonal acceleration into late May and broader mortgage-rate stability above 6 percent, has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$344,000 outcome at 78.5 percent implied probability. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital at risk and continue to price in only modest further appreciation through month-end, consistent with the 4–5 percent annual growth forecasts issued by local real-estate associations earlier this year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
<344k 89%
348 - 349k 45%
347 - 348k 45%
351 - 353k 37%
<344k
78%
344 - 345k
9%
345 - 347k
8%
347 - 348k
45%
348 - 349k
45%
349 - 351k
6%
351 - 353k
37%
>353k
6%
<344k 89%
348 - 349k 45%
347 - 348k 45%
351 - 353k 37%
<344k
78%
344 - 345k
9%
345 - 347k
8%
347 - 348k
45%
348 - 349k
45%
349 - 351k
6%
351 - 353k
37%
>353k
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
市场开放时间: May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow data place Chicago’s typical home value at approximately $324,183 as of late April 2026, reflecting a modest 3.1 percent year-over-year increase amid persistently tight inventory and mixed sales volumes. This trajectory, coupled with limited seasonal acceleration into late May and broader mortgage-rate stability above 6 percent, has anchored trader consensus around the sub-$344,000 outcome at 78.5 percent implied probability. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated capital at risk and continue to price in only modest further appreciation through month-end, consistent with the 4–5 percent annual growth forecasts issued by local real-estate associations earlier this year.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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